The 小蓝视频 government鈥檚 allowing municipal governments to dictate rental-only zones has been met with a mixed reaction that has left many wondering whether it鈥檚 a good or bad idea.
On the one hand, and affordable housing advocates have warmly welcomed the autonomy to choose whether to impose strict zoning rules in order to create more rental housing. Vancouver mayor Gregor Robertson publicly supported the flexibility of the program, noting that what works in Vancouver may not work in Victoria, and SFU City Affairs program director Andy Yan has described the policy as 鈥渋nnovative.鈥�
On the other hand, the idea has been met with predictable caution by the development industry, which in general seems not opposed in principle, but concerned about how 鈥渄ownzoning鈥� land to rental-only could make building on such land financially unviable, or create rental 鈥済hettos鈥� that could become undesirable over time.
Not knowing what to think, I headed to the 小蓝视频 Non-Profit Housing Association鈥檚 one-day Regional Education, Networking & Tradeshow (or 鈥淩ENT鈥� 鈥� how cute) on May 31, to listen to what smarter people than I had to say about it. At an eye-opening panel discussion, moderated by venerated journalist Frances Bula, four housing industry insiders shared their thoughts on whether rental-only zoning will work in the real world.
It was unanimous that the policy was a good idea in theory, with none of the panellists taking Bula鈥檚 bait to criticize it, and all refuting the 鈥済hettoization鈥� theory. Robert Brown, president of non-profit housing provider Catalyst, joked that Vancouver鈥檚 rental policies of the 60s and 70s created a 鈥渉orrendous ghetto, known as the West End鈥� 鈥� now, of course, a highly desirable neighbourhood despite its high proportion of rental. 小蓝视频 Housing鈥檚 Housing Hub director Raymond Kwong added that if developers were so concerned about ensuring a healthy mix of housing tenure, why was that not already being created? Both fair points, and both solidly in favour of the new policy.
However, further discussion about how the rental-only zones would be implemented yielded a number of caveats. Noha Sedky, community planner with CitySpaces, observed, 鈥淲ith this policy, [municipalities] don鈥檛 have to have 100 per cent rental. You can have a mix, you can determine what you want 鈥� 10 per cent, 20 per cent... In some cases it might be best to have 100 per cent, especially where you鈥檙e replacing existing rental stock鈥� But you may choose to have a mix, if you鈥檙e concerned about that potential of change over the long term.鈥�
So what does that mean for the usefulness of rental-only zoning? Municipalities already dictate certain percentages of rental stock within their community plans, and in negotiations with developers by offering them more density (and therefore more money-making market condos) in exchange for adding rental units to their project. So then, what鈥檚 going to change under the new policy?
鈥楢ll a negotiation鈥�
Lisa Spitale, chief administrative officer with the City of New Westminster, said, 鈥淭he most strategic way of using this tool is as part of a neighbourhood masterplan鈥� This just becomes another appropriate tool for land use in a masterplan and neighbourhood context. When we are dealing with development applications at that scale, it鈥檚 all a negotiation. All of it鈥� We鈥檙e really comfortable with density negotiations [in exchange for rentals]. Do I see that changing with rental-only zoning? Not necessarily.鈥�
Sedky added that it was 鈥渦nlikely鈥� that a city such as Burnaby, with high-density community plans already in place, would add a layer of rental-only zoning to those communities 鈥� such as Metrotown. 鈥淚t would be a contradiction of the process that they鈥檝e gone through, and鈥� they would also have to go through a zoning bylaw amendment and a public process.鈥�
She continued, 鈥淚t will probably only apply as 鈥榙ownzoning鈥� existing multi-family areas, as you couldn鈥檛 apply it to single-family neighbourhoods, I don鈥檛 think the legislation allows that. And that鈥檚 where you have to see if it鈥檚 going to work 鈥� are you going to see the pick-up of rental projects [by developers], or are you going to prevent homes being built? That鈥檚 where you might have to have additional incentives to make it work.鈥� Sedky added that if municipalities wanted to build non-market affordable rental, not just market rental, even more incentives would need to be put in place.
鈥楾he elephant in the room鈥�
Brown agreed, 鈥淒ownzoning is the elephant in the room, that鈥檚 where the conflict is going to come, particularly in the development community. But this could be handled with potentially the use of [offering] additional density [to developers].鈥� He also said that NIMBYism and public pushback against new rental-only zones could make it not worthwhile for municipalities to pursue at all, and that non-profit housing providers would still never be able to compete with market developers to buy land.
Kwong said, 鈥淸The policy] is a good idea, but how do you implement it? That鈥檚 where everything hits the fan, and the devil is in the details鈥� These tools need to dovetail with what other levels of government are doing鈥� The provincial and federal governments need to also provide tools to assist in the ability to create that.鈥�
All of which seemed to say that, although the new rental-only zoning policy seems like a good idea in theory, the practical application of it may be far trickier. It could either end up so watered-down, there would ultimately be very little difference from the status quo in terms of rental stock, or developers would get so much incentivization to make all this additional rental viable, that land values would remain astronomical, and there won鈥檛 be any additional below-market rental housing. We can hope that increased market rental supply would at least be enough to help with affordability and vacancy rates, but that remains to be seen.
More to come on this, no doubt.
