Incumbent:
Taleeb Noormohamed (Liberal | 2021)
Candidates:
Liberal: Taleeb Noormohamed
Conservative: Marie Rogers
New Democratic: Sukhi Singh Sahota
Green: Jerry Kroll
2021 Results:
Liberal - 37 per cent
New Democratic - 33 per cent
Conservative - 25 per cent
Green - three per cent
People’s - two per cent
In 2021, Vancouver Granville was the closest riding in British Columbia. Coming after six years of Jody Wilson-Raybould representing the riding first as a Liberal, then as an independent after Trudeau expelled her from caucus, the race came down to a tight, 400-vote scrap between longtime Liberal staffer turned tech entrepreneur Taleeb Noormohamed and climate activist Anjali Appadurai. After she faded from the scene following a failed run for the provincial leadership and redistribution cutting out a slice of conservative Kerrisdale and battleground Marpole, Noormohamed may be able to breathe a little easier.
To his left is Sukhi Singh Sahota, who works for an environmental NGO. The federal NDP does not have a long history of strength here, given how they were crushed by Trudeaumania in 2015 and Jody Wilson-Raybould’s independent run in 2019. In 2021, though, Anjali tapped into a base of renters concentrated between West Broadway and 16th in Fairview and Mount Pleasant, along with co-op residents south of 70th in Marpole. This time though, Marpole has been cut out of the riding and connected with Richmond Centre, leaving the NDP base to largely be concentrated in the riding’s north. Sukhi will have to work hard in the buildings there if he wants a strong finish.
To Noormhohamed’s right is his Conservative challenger, Marie Rogers. A veteran of civic politics, Rogers was part of the moderate walkout from Vancouver’s Non-Partisan Association after its takeover by Angelo Isidorou, eventually coalescing behind Ken Sim’s A小蓝视频 Vancouver party. While a strong fundraiser, this month’s civic by-election shows that A小蓝视频 doesn’t seem to have retained much campaign infrastructure apart from some residual strength in heavily diverse parts of South Vancouver. She’ll be hoping for some of that strength to bleed over in Oakridge with its affluent Chinese families and Sunset’s multigenerational households, along with the right’s traditional stronghold of Shaughnessy.
For what it’s worth, Noormohamed is a political veteran. From a 2004 challenge against Hedy Fry for the Vancouver Centre Liberal nod that went down to the wire, to a bruising contest up in North Vancouver, a re-election in Granville would be the second win of his storied political career. He is expected to benefit from Liberal strength spread widely across the riding and the party’s incredible advantage among university-educated voters who make up a majority of the adult population.
Hugh Chan is a U小蓝视频 student specializing in international relations and data science.
