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Opinion: Climate change is helping the H5N1 bird flu virus spread and evolve

H5N1 is the latest evidence that climate change is altering how viruses spread and evolve. It is essential that global public health officials take these dynamics into account.
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There is increasing evidence that climate change is accelerating the global spread and emergence of new H5N1 variants with evidence that wider seasonal variation is enabling the emergence of novel H5N1 variants.

The spread of the virus among animals is unprecedented having been found on all continents — except Oceania — with the United Nations calling it “.”

H5N1 is known to be able to infect over 350 species of birds and close to 60 species of mammals with migratory waterfowl — including ducks, swans, geese and gulls — being especially susceptible . H5N1 infected waterfowl are normally asymptomatic carriers, however, these birds can infect other species (including mammals) along their migratory routes. This global transference allows disease to spread, and for virus genetics and virulence to continually adapt.

Alarmingly, evidence indicates that . As global climate conditions change, . Higher temperatures and extreme weather has resulted in in a range of temperate species. These changes have led to diseases emerging in areas — and in genetic configurations — entirely unique and unprecedented.

H5N1 is a clear indication that disease monitoring and response efforts are an essential part of any climate change adaptation and mitigation strategy.

H5N1

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The H5N1 virus has been detected in the and the first confirmed case of a dying from H5N1 was recorded in Alaska in 2022. Antarctica has seen significant rates of mortality in its native populations as a result of viral exposure.

Non-migratory wild birds are highly susceptible to H5N1 infections brought on the wings of their more transitory cousins. There have been approximately 75,000 bird casualties globally as per the World Animal Health Information System. However, efforts to accurately estimate the total number of wild birds which have died as a result of H5N1 .

Meanwhile, a 2022 report on the state of wild birds in the United States estimated that over have been lost in part due to climate related factors.

On land, the H5N1 virus has been detected in dairy cattle, and in 2024, a Texas agricultural worker . These cases suggest that H5N1 is adapting to infect mammalian hosts.

In March of this year, on a farm in Minnesota. That same farm had individuals in its poultry flock test positive for H5N1 and the goats and poultry shared similar spaces and water sources. It was later determined that the H5N1 strains in both the .

In May of 2024, the U.S. Department of Agriculture confirmed the detection of on a farm in Idaho. Similar to previous cases, this farm also had a backyard poultry population test positive for H5N1 with . To date, .

The discoveries of H5N1 on farms, alongside recent analysis of viral dispersal patterns, reiterate the importance of climate change shifting the migratory patterns of birds in the spread of viruses around the globe.

Climate change and H5N1

There is with evidence that wider .

In North America, the warmer winters and earlier onset of spring which global warming is causing could allow some to survive and spread more easily. Meanwhile, conditions can enhance the survival of influenza viruses in and contaminated .

Simply put, the spread of influenza viruses around the globe is dictated by their ability to survive long enough in a place to be able to transmit elsewhere — and climate change is, in some cases, making this survival more likely.

The recent cases of and transmissions underscore the threats posed by these viruses and the importance of understanding how climate change is affecting their spread.

Implications and mitigation

The H5N1 virus poses a significant threat to public health and the recent — coupled with — underscores the need for vigilant monitoring.

Dealing with viruses is always a challenge, however, climate change is upending many conventional understandings as shifting waterfowl migration patterns and environmental conditions force us to change strategies. Strengthening health-care infrastructure, and educating communities about H5N1 risks are essential components of a comprehensive response strategy.

Promoting sustainable agricultural practices, such as improving biosecurity in poultry and cattle farms, reducing livestock population density and enhancing barn ventilation systems, is crucial. Innovative technology can also help track viral infections in poultry barns.

Conservation efforts are essential to maintain healthy ecosystems and minimize viral spread. Restoring natural habitats can mitigate the effects of climate change on wild bird populations, thereby reducing the risk of H5N1 spillover.

In the future, global leaders will need to be vigilant with respect to the trajectory of H5N1. International collaboration on disease management will be crucial for implementing climate adaptation strategies to safeguard the health of both our planet and its inhabitants against viruses like H5N1.

Shayan Sharif receives funding from Ontario Agri-Food Innovation Alliance.

Nitish Boodhoo does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

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